Army Black Knights Projections

Overall Record

20.2 - 8.8

Conference Record

11.5 - 6.5

Conference Champs

20.6%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 20.6% 1.0%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
3.5 65.0% 37.1% 19.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Patriot CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
American 0 0 0.0 12.3 5.7 19.7 10.3 30.0% 27.9%
Army 0 0 0.0 11.5 6.5 20.2 8.8 20.6% 19.9%
Lafayette 0 0 0.0 11.4 6.6 19.3 9.7 19.3% 19.1%
Holy Cross 0 0 0.0 10.3 7.7 15.8 12.2 9.8% 10.7%
Lehigh 0 0 0.0 10.1 7.9 14.8 13.2 9.5% 9.7%
Colgate 0 0 0.0 9.7 8.3 12.9 18.1 7.0% 7.4%
Boston U 0 0 0.0 8.3 9.7 11.3 16.7 2.3% 3.1%
Bucknell 0 0 0.0 7.6 10.4 13.0 18.0 1.5% 2.0%
Navy 0 0 0.0 4.5 13.5 7.9 22.1 0.0% 0.1%
Loyola-MD 0 0 0.0 4.4 13.6 7.8 21.2 0.1% 0.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/26 American Away 31.0%
2/28 Lafayette Away 35.5%
1/14 Holy Cross Away 42.2%
2/4 Lehigh Away 43.3%
2/18 Colgate Away 45.5%
2/25 Boston U Away 53.6%
1/17 Bucknell Away 57.2%
2/21 American Home 60.5%
12/31 Lafayette Home 65.1%
2/11 Holy Cross Home 71.4%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/28 Coast Guard Academy Home 99.5%
1/31 Loyola-MD Home 92.6%
1/10 Navy Home 92.5%
2/15 Bucknell Home 82.7%
1/29 Boston U Home 80.3%
1/3 Loyola-MD Away 75.5%
2/7 Navy Away 75.0%
1/21 Colgate Home 74.2%
1/7 Lehigh Home 72.3%
2/11 Holy Cross Home 71.4%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 20.6% 46.7%
2 19.1% 27.6%
3 15.9% 14.6%
4 13.5% 10.5%
5 11.7% 5.4%
6 8.6% 4.4%
7 5.7% 2.7%
8 3.2% 2.0%
9 1.2% 0.9%
10 0.5% 0.6%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 19.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.