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Army Black Knights Projections

Overall Record

20.4 - 8.6

Conference Record

11.6 - 6.4

Conference Champs

20.5%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 20.5% 10.5%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
3.6 64.5% 36.6% 19.8% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Patriot CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Holy Cross 0 0 0.0 11.8 6.2 18.5 9.5 24.6% 22.9%
Army 0 0 0.0 11.6 6.4 20.4 8.6 20.5% 19.8%
American 0 0 0.0 11.5 6.5 18.0 12.0 19.5% 19.0%
Lafayette 0 0 0.0 11.3 6.7 18.6 10.4 17.7% 17.4%
Boston U 0 0 0.0 9.6 8.4 13.8 14.2 7.2% 8.2%
Lehigh 0 0 0.0 9.0 9.0 12.4 15.6 4.9% 5.7%
Colgate 0 0 0.0 8.6 9.4 12.7 18.3 3.8% 4.4%
Bucknell 0 0 0.0 7.7 10.3 11.9 19.1 1.7% 2.3%
Navy 0 0 0.0 4.5 13.5 9.2 20.8 0.1% 0.2%
Loyola-MD 0 0 0.0 4.4 13.6 8.0 21.0 0.0% 0.2%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
11/30 Duke Away 0.5%
1/14 Holy Cross Away 33.7%
1/26 American Away 35.7%
2/28 Lafayette Away 36.8%
2/25 Boston U Away 46.4%
2/4 Lehigh Away 49.6%
12/13 USC Away 50.9%
2/18 Colgate Away 52.2%
1/17 Bucknell Away 57.5%
2/11 Holy Cross Home 63.3%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/28 Coast Guard Academy Home 99.5%
12/21 Maine Home 97.3%
1/31 Loyola-MD Home 92.8%
1/10 Navy Home 92.6%
12/9 Bryant Home 85.5%
2/15 Bucknell Home 82.9%
1/21 Colgate Home 79.3%
1/7 Lehigh Home 77.4%
1/3 Loyola-MD Away 75.9%
2/7 Navy Away 75.3%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 20.5% 49.7%
2 18.0% 27.4%
3 16.4% 14.6%
4 13.3% 9.7%
5 11.1% 4.5%
6 8.4% 3.3%
7 6.1% 2.2%
8 3.8% 1.5%
9 1.8% 0.8%
10 0.6% 0.5%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 19.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.