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American U. Eagles Projections

Overall Record

20.1 - 9.9

Conference Record

12.7 - 5.3

Conference Champs

35.0%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 35.0% 2.8%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
2.7 77.4% 51.2% 31.8% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Patriot CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
American 0 0 0.0 12.7 5.3 20.1 9.9 35.0% 31.8%
Lafayette 0 0 0.0 11.7 6.3 19.6 9.4 20.7% 20.8%
Army 0 0 0.0 11.6 6.4 20.2 8.8 19.4% 19.2%
Holy Cross 0 0 0.0 10.2 7.8 15.7 12.3 10.1% 10.1%
Colgate 0 0 0.0 9.7 8.3 13.0 18.0 6.5% 7.1%
Lehigh 0 0 0.0 9.4 8.6 13.2 14.8 4.8% 6.0%
Boston U 0 0 0.0 8.3 9.7 11.4 16.6 2.3% 3.1%
Bucknell 0 0 0.0 7.6 10.4 13.0 18.0 1.2% 1.8%
Navy 0 0 0.0 4.4 13.6 7.8 22.2 0.0% 0.1%
Loyola-MD 0 0 0.0 4.3 13.7 7.7 21.3 0.0% 0.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/17 Lafayette Away 41.1%
2/21 Army Away 42.0%
12/23 Stony Brook Away 49.3%
2/2 Holy Cross Away 50.2%
2/7 Colgate Away 52.8%
2/12 Lehigh Away 54.9%
1/21 Boston U Away 60.7%
12/31 Bucknell Away 64.6%
2/14 Lafayette Home 70.5%
1/26 Army Home 71.2%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/4 Loyola-MD Home 95.1%
2/25 Navy Home 94.9%
2/28 Bucknell Home 87.2%
2/18 Boston U Home 84.9%
1/7 Loyola-MD Away 81.5%
1/14 Lehigh Home 81.2%
1/28 Navy Away 81.0%
1/10 Colgate Home 79.7%
1/3 Holy Cross Home 77.8%
1/26 Army Home 71.2%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 35.0% 54.6%
2 21.4% 32.9%
3 15.7% 19.6%
4 11.5% 13.4%
5 7.4% 7.8%
6 5.0% 6.5%
7 2.6% 4.5%
8 1.1% 3.3%
9 0.4% 1.7%
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 31.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.