American U. Eagles Projections

Overall Record

16.4 - 13.6

Conference Record

9.4 - 8.6

Conference Champs

5.5%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 5.5% -18.9%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
4.9 51.9% 26.9% 13.8% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Patriot CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Bucknell 7 2 0.0 11.7 6.3 16.7 14.3 43.7% 20.2%
Colgate 6 3 0.0 11.0 7.0 14.0 17.0 26.8% 19.0%
Army 5 4 0.0 10.0 8.0 19.0 10.0 10.4% 14.6%
Lafayette 4 5 0.0 9.6 8.4 17.6 11.4 7.7% 15.4%
American 4 5 0.0 9.4 8.6 16.4 13.6 5.5% 13.8%
Lehigh 4 5 0.0 9.1 8.9 14.1 13.9 4.1% 9.1%
Boston U 4 5 0.0 8.4 9.6 12.4 16.6 1.3% 4.4%
Navy 4 5 0.0 7.3 10.7 11.3 18.7 0.3% 1.0%
Holy Cross 3 6 0.0 7.1 10.9 12.1 15.9 0.3% 2.5%
Loyola-MD 4 5 0.0 6.4 11.6 10.4 18.6 0.0% 0.2%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/7 Colgate Away 37.3%
2/21 Army Away 39.7%
2/12 Lehigh Away 40.8%
2/2 Holy Cross Away 46.9%
2/14 Lafayette Home 63.4%
2/28 Bucknell Home 70.2%
2/18 Boston U Home 74.8%
2/25 Navy Home 84.4%
2/4 Loyola-MD Home 87.5%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/4 Loyola-MD Home 87.5%
2/25 Navy Home 84.4%
2/18 Boston U Home 74.8%
2/28 Bucknell Home 70.2%
2/14 Lafayette Home 63.4%
2/2 Holy Cross Away 46.9%
2/12 Lehigh Away 40.8%
2/21 Army Away 39.7%
2/7 Colgate Away 37.3%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.5% 41.0%
2 11.5% 30.2%
3 14.2% 19.3%
4 15.5% 15.1%
5 15.3% 8.2%
6 12.8% 6.9%
7 10.8% 4.3%
8 8.0% 3.7%
9 4.7% 2.1%
10 1.7% 1.8%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 13.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.