Air Force Falcons Projections

Overall Record

11.8 - 17.2

Conference Record

4.8 - 13.2

Conference Champs

0.0%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
9.4 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Mountain West CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 5 2 0.0 13.7 4.3 23.7 7.3 47.0% 32.2%
Wyoming 6 1 0.0 12.9 5.1 22.9 7.1 21.5% 8.6%
Colorado St 5 2 0.0 12.8 5.2 25.8 5.2 21.9% 20.6%
Boise State 4 3 0.0 11.6 6.4 21.6 9.4 6.4% 14.5%
New Mexico 5 3 0.0 10.9 7.1 18.9 11.1 2.5% 6.7%
Utah State 4 3 0.0 8.9 9.1 15.9 14.1 0.3% 1.3%
UNLV 2 5 0.0 8.7 9.3 17.7 13.3 0.2% 15.3%
Fresno St 5 2 0.0 8.5 9.5 13.5 17.5 0.1% 0.6%
Nevada 2 4 0.0 5.2 12.8 9.2 20.8 0.0% 0.0%
Air Force 1 7 0.0 4.8 13.2 11.8 17.2 0.0% 0.2%
San Jose St 0 7 0.0 1.0 17.0 3.0 27.0 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/21 Colorado St Away 7.0%
2/11 Boise State Away 8.8%
1/31 UNLV Away 13.8%
3/4 Fresno St Away 32.1%
2/7 Wyoming Home 36.5%
2/4 New Mexico Home 37.1%
2/14 UNLV Home 37.2%
2/28 Utah State Home 55.8%
2/25 Nevada Home 75.6%
1/28 San Jose St Away 79.3%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/28 San Jose St Away 79.3%
2/25 Nevada Home 75.6%
2/28 Utah State Home 55.8%
2/14 UNLV Home 37.2%
2/4 New Mexico Home 37.1%
2/7 Wyoming Home 36.5%
3/4 Fresno St Away 32.1%
1/31 UNLV Away 13.8%
2/11 Boise State Away 8.8%
2/21 Colorado St Away 7.0%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.0% -
5 0.1% -
6 0.5% 1.6%
7 2.6% 0.8%
8 8.2% 0.4%
9 33.6% 0.3%
10 55.0% 0.2%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.