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Air Force Falcons Projections

Overall Record

16.2 - 12.8

Conference Record

8.5 - 9.5

Conference Champs

1.0%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.7%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
6.5 24.2% 7.8% 2.4% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Mountain West CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 0 0 0.0 14.3 3.7 24.1 6.9 54.4% 38.2%
Colorado St 0 0 0.0 12.3 5.7 24.3 6.7 18.0% 16.2%
Boise State 0 0 0.0 11.6 6.4 21.4 8.6 10.7% 12.4%
Wyoming 0 0 0.0 11.2 6.8 21.0 9.0 8.8% 9.3%
New Mexico 0 0 0.0 9.9 8.1 18.0 12.0 3.8% 6.8%
UNLV 0 0 0.0 9.8 8.2 18.1 12.9 2.8% 12.9%
Air Force 0 0 0.0 8.5 9.5 16.2 12.8 1.0% 2.4%
Utah State 0 0 0.0 7.4 10.6 14.6 15.4 0.3% 0.9%
Fresno St 0 0 0.0 6.9 11.1 11.9 19.1 0.2% 0.8%
Nevada 0 0 0.0 5.1 12.9 7.7 21.3 0.0% 0.1%
San Jose St 0 0 0.0 2.1 15.9 4.2 25.8 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/31 San Diego St Away 8.3%
2/21 Colorado St Away 16.0%
2/11 Boise State Away 18.6%
1/14 New Mexico Away 24.2%
1/20 San Diego St Home 26.6%
1/31 UNLV Away 28.0%
1/10 Colorado St Home 40.8%
1/24 Boise State Home 44.8%
1/17 Utah State Away 45.0%
3/4 Fresno St Away 45.2%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/7 San Jose St Home 94.7%
12/22 Jksnville St Home 91.4%
2/25 Nevada Home 83.7%
12/20 UC Davis Home 82.1%
1/28 San Jose St Away 80.4%
2/28 Utah State Home 73.7%
1/3 Nevada Away 58.8%
2/14 UNLV Home 57.1%
2/4 New Mexico Home 52.4%
2/7 Wyoming Home 49.2%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 11.0%
2 3.4% 8.1%
3 5.9% 5.7%
4 8.4% 4.1%
5 11.8% 3.4%
6 14.9% 2.8%
7 17.0% 1.5%
8 16.4% 0.9%
9 14.2% 0.6%
10 6.9% 0.4%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.