GA Tech at Florida St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 1, 2012 7:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Florida State by 12, Total Points: 127.5

More Games From Feb 1, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GT FSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GT FSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 61.1
Field Goal % 43.5% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 23.0
Free Throw % 73.6% 70.5%
Ball Control GT FSU
Rebounds 41.0 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 10.1
Turnovers 13.5 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.9
Steals 3.6 8.4
Fouls 16.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GT FSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GT FSU
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 23.8%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.0%
Turnover 18.5% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GT FSU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 35.4% 26.3%