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Michigan at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Jan 24, 2012 7:00 pm - West Lafayette, IN
Odds: Purdue by 5, Total Points: 126

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan +5.0 Official TR Pick Michigan 53% odds to cover
Michigan +5.0 Decision Tree Michigan 53% odds to cover
Purdue -5.0 Similar Games Purdue 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MICH adv PUR
Season 8-24-0 21-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 4-17-0 9-13-0
Streak L4 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 2-8-0 6-4-0
Home 5-10-0 7-8-1
Away 3-14-0 14-8-1

Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/07 Home NC-Asheville -10.5 W by 25 +14.5
11/10 Home Youngs St -16.5 W by 30 +13.5
11/13 Away St Johns +3.0 W by 16 +19.0
11/17 Home Lg Beach St -15.0 L by 8 -23.0
11/22 Neutral Memphis -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
11/23 Neutral Stanford -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/24 Neutral Texas Tech -2.5 L by 16 -18.5
12/02 Away Oregon +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
12/05 Home Indiana -6.5 L by 3 -9.5
12/10 Away Iowa +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
12/16 Home E Michigan -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
12/19 Neutral Florida +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/29 Home McNeese St -10.5 L by 11 -21.5
01/04 Home Minnesota -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
01/07 Neutral Penn St -3.0 L by 6 -9.0
01/11 Away Maryland +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
01/15 Home Ohio St -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
01/18 Home Illinois +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
01/23 Away Purdue +18.0 L by 32 -14.0
01/27 Home Iowa -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
01/30 Away Michigan St +12.0 L by 19 -7.0
02/03 Home Rutgers -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
02/07 Home Wisconsin +8.0 W by 4 +12.0
02/10 Away Nebraska +10.0 L by 20 -10.0
02/13 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 29 -13.5
02/17 Home Michigan St +6.0 L by 10 -4.0
02/22 Away Northwestern +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
02/25 Home Purdue +13.5 L by 8 +5.5
02/29 Away Rutgers +8.0 L by 30 -22.0
03/03 Away Ohio St +12.0 L by 23 -11.0
03/10 Home Nebraska +6.5 L by 15 -8.5
03/13 Neutral Penn St +7.0 L by 9 -2.0

Purdue Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Samford -19.5 W by 53 +33.5
11/10 Home Morehead St -29.5 W by 30 +0.5
11/13 Home Xavier -17.0 W by 12 -5.0
11/20 Neutral Gonzaga -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
11/21 Neutral Tennessee -3.5 W by 4 +0.5
11/22 Neutral Marquette -3.0 W by 3 0.0
11/28 Home TX Southern -32.0 W by 32 0.0
12/01 Away Northwestern -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
12/04 Home Iowa -13.5 W by 19 +5.5
12/09 Neutral Alabama -5.5 W by 6 +0.5
12/16 Neutral Arizona +2.0 W by 8 +10.0
12/21 Home Jacksonville -32.5 W by 43 +10.5
12/29 Home E Kentucky -29.0 W by 27 -2.0
01/02 Away Maryland -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
01/05 Home Illinois -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/09 Away Nebraska -7.5 L by 16 -23.5
01/13 Home Penn St -18.0 W by 17 -1.0
01/16 Away Indiana -9.5 W by 21 +11.5
01/20 Away Iowa -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
01/23 Home Michigan -18.0 W by 32 +14.0
01/28 Away Rutgers -10.0 W by 8 -2.0
01/31 Home Northwestern -14.0 W by 9 -5.0
02/04 Away Wisconsin -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
02/10 Home Indiana -17.0 W by 20 +3.0
02/15 Home Minnesota -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
02/18 Away Ohio St -8.0 L by 4 -12.0
02/22 Home Rutgers -14.5 W by 28 +13.5
02/25 Away Michigan -13.5 W by 8 -5.5
03/02 Home Michigan St -10.0 W by 6 -4.0
03/05 Away Illinois +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/10 Home Wisconsin -10.0 W by 8 -2.0
03/15 Neutral Michigan St -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
03/16 Neutral Wisconsin -6.0 L by 1 -7.0
03/22 Neutral Grambling St -27.0 W by 28 +1.0
03/24 Neutral Utah St -11.5 W by 39 +27.5
03/29 Neutral Gonzaga -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
03/31 Neutral Tennessee -3.0 W by 6 +3.0
04/06 Neutral NC State -9.5 W by 13 +3.5
04/08 Neutral Connecticut +7.0 L by 15 -8.0