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NC State vs. St Bonavent

  Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Rochester, NY (Neutral Site) | Odds: St. Bonaventure by 1, Total Points: 141 | Team Pages: NCST | SBON

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCST SBON
Points 75.3 43.4
Total Points   118.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 15.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 12.1
Points From Free Throws 23.8 16.1

Shooting NCST SBON
Field Goals Made 23.0 11.6
Field Goals Attempted 70.0 77.1
Field Goal % 32.8% 15.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 7.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 32.0% 14.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 4.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 15.9%
Free Throws Made 23.8 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 36.7 24.9
Free Throw % 64.8% 64.6%

Ball Control NCST SBON
Rebounds 63.7 56.3
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 24.2 27.1
Turnovers 7.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 17.3 8.8
Steals 3.7 3.7
Fouls 15.1 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: NC State

Expected Effect: +1.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCST SBON
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 91.0 90.0

% of Possessions with NCST SBON
2 Point Attempt 53.6% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 23.7%
Player Fouled 26.2% 20.4%
Turnover 9.5% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 5.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken NCST SBON
Shot Blocked 12.2% 25.5%
Offensive Rebound 45.4% 40.7%