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Cleveland St at Wright St: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 1, 2011 7:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Cleveland St. by 6, Total Points: 121

Matchup Menu: CLEVST @ WRST

More Games From Dec 1, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST WRST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CLEVST WRST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 57.5
Field Goal % 47.5% 53.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.0 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 23.6
Free Throw % 65.8% 75.6%
Ball Control CLEVST WRST
Rebounds 32.6 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.0
Turnovers 8.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.0
Steals 7.8 4.6
Fouls 17.5 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST WRST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CLEVST WRST
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 19.7%
Player Fouled 17.9% 23.6%
Turnover 12.1% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST WRST
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 30.1%