Utah at Oregon St

  Thursday Mar 1, 2012 - 10:00 pm - Corvallis, OR | Odds: Oregon St. by 17, Total Points: 135.5 | Team Pages: UTAH | ORST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH ORST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting UTAH ORST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 45.3 49.6
Field Goal % 41.8% 34.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 23.8 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 37.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 13.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 25.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 17.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 67.5%

Ball Control UTAH ORST
Rebounds 36.7 28.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.2
Turnovers 12.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.3
Steals 6.0 6.3
Fouls 14.9 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH ORST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with UTAH ORST
2 Point Attempt 32.3% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 19.1%
Player Fouled 29.1% 24.0%
Turnover 19.4% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH ORST
Shot Blocked 8.8% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 23.2%