AR Lit Rock at Arkansas St
Saturday Jan 14, 2012 -
8:05 pm -
Jonesboro, AR
|
Odds:
Arkansas St. by 3.5,
Total Points:
119.5
|
Team Pages:
ALR |
ARST
Box Score Projection
| Shooting |
ALR |
ARST |
| Field Goals Made |
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| Field Goals Attempted |
50.5 |
50.8 |
| Field Goal % |
40.0% |
38.9% |
| 2 Pointers Made |
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| 2 Pointers Attempted |
37.1 |
30.5 |
| 2 Point Shooting % |
41.9% |
43.6% |
| 3 Pointers Made |
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| 3 Pointers Attempted |
13.4 |
20.3 |
| 3 Point Shooting % |
34.7% |
31.8% |
| Free Throws Made |
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| Free Throws Attempted |
23.5 |
28.8 |
| Free Throw % |
65.7% |
68.7% |
| Ball Control |
ALR |
ARST |
| Rebounds |
34.2 |
37.1 |
| Rebounds - Defensive |
25.2 |
26.1 |
| Rebounds - Offensive |
9.0 |
11.1 |
| Turnovers |
15.0 |
13.7 |
| Blocked Shots |
3.1 |
2.1 |
| Steals |
5.4 |
6.5 |
| Fouls |
19.9 |
18.5 |
Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
Tempo-Free Projection
| % of Possessions with |
ALR |
ARST |
| 2 Point Attempt |
45.4% |
36.3% |
| 3 Point Attempt |
16.5% |
24.2% |
| Player Fouled |
25.8% |
27.8% |
| Turnover |
21.0% |
19.2% |
| Opponent Steal |
9.1% |
7.5% |
| Odds Per Shot Taken |
ALR |
ARST |
| Shot Blocked |
4.1% |
6.3% |
| Offensive Rebound |
25.7% |
30.6% |