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AR Lit Rock at Arkansas St

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  Saturday Jan 14, 2012 - 8:05 pm - Jonesboro, AR | Odds: Arkansas St. by 3.5, Total Points: 119.5 | Team Pages: ALR | ARST

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALR ARST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting ALR ARST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 58.5
Field Goal % 35.7% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.8 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 23.9% 27.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 32.0 17.0
Free Throw % 73.3% 67.6%

Ball Control ALR ARST
Rebounds 34.3 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.6
Turnovers 9.5 15.9
Blocked Shots 0.8 1.1
Steals 7.5 3.0
Fouls 19.8 21.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALR ARST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with ALR ARST
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 16.4% 21.5%
Player Fouled 28.3% 26.3%
Turnover 12.6% 21.2%
Opponent Steal 4.0% 10.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken ALR ARST
Shot Blocked 1.9% 1.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 30.7%