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USC at Oregon St

  Saturday Jan 21, 2012 - 10:30 pm - Corvallis, OR | Odds: Oregon St. by 8.5, Total Points: 128 | Team Pages: USC | ORST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC ORST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting USC ORST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 56.8
Field Goal % 38.8% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 30.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.9
Free Throw % 61.9% 67.6%

Ball Control USC ORST
Rebounds 37.2 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.8
Turnovers 15.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.2
Steals 6.0 8.0
Fouls 14.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC ORST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with USC ORST
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 24.2%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.9%
Turnover 22.2% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 11.8% 8.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken USC ORST
Shot Blocked 7.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 31.3%