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Wm & Mary at Missouri: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 18, 2011 3:00 pm - Columbia, MO
Odds: Missouri by 33, Total Points: 144

Matchup Menu: CWM @ MIZZ

More Games From Dec 18, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM MIZZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CWM MIZZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 54.5
Field Goal % 36.4% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 33.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 20.9
Free Throw % 67.7% 78.9%
Ball Control CWM MIZZ
Rebounds 33.1 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.1
Turnovers 11.3 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.3 6.2
Steals 4.2 6.6
Fouls 16.6 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM MIZZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CWM MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 32.2% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 26.6%
Player Fouled 24.7% 24.4%
Turnover 16.5% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM MIZZ
Shot Blocked 11.5% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 27.5%