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CS Fullerton at Cal St Nrdge

  Thursday Jan 26, 2012 - 10:05 pm - Northridge, CA | Odds: Cal St. Fullerton by 6, Total Points: 154 | Team Pages: CSFU | CSNR

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSFU CSNR
Points 66.0 59.8
Total Points   125.8
Points From 2-Pointers 23.6 21.5
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 5.5
Points From Free Throws 7.6 32.7

Shooting CSFU CSNR
Field Goals Made 23.4 12.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 40.0
Field Goal % 40.5% 31.5%
2 Pointers Made 11.8 10.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 37.6% 29.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 1.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 3.6
3 Point Shooting % 43.8% 50.6%
Free Throws Made 7.6 32.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 45.7
Free Throw % 47.9% 71.5%

Ball Control CSFU CSNR
Rebounds 38.6 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 8.4
Turnovers 12.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.5
Steals 3.0 4.3
Fouls 25.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: +3.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSFU CSNR
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 67.2

% of Possessions with CSFU CSNR
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 4.6%
Player Fouled 21.8% 36.4%
Turnover 18.3% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 4.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken CSFU CSNR
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 23.9%