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TX Southern at Arkansas: Box Score Simulation

Friday Dec 30, 2011 8:00 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: TXSO @ ARK

More Games From Dec 30, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO ARK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TXSO ARK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 52.8
Field Goal % 36.0% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.3% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 30.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 32.5
Free Throw % 73.6% 76.5%
Ball Control TXSO ARK
Rebounds 33.9 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.7
Turnovers 11.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.4
Steals 5.7 5.7
Fouls 21.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO ARK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TXSO ARK
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 21.8%
Player Fouled 21.4% 28.5%
Turnover 14.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO ARK
Shot Blocked 10.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 26.8%