Towson at VCU

  Wednesday Feb 8, 2012 - 7:30 pm - Richmond, VA | Odds: VCU by 23, Total Points: 119.5 | Team Pages: TOWS | VCU

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS VCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting TOWS VCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.6 54.8
Field Goal % 36.0% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.2% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.0 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 32.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 29.7
Free Throw % 63.9% 64.7%

Ball Control TOWS VCU
Rebounds 38.7 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 11.1
Turnovers 15.3 6.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 7.0
Steals 2.2 8.5
Fouls 19.7 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS VCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with TOWS VCU
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 15.7% 25.1%
Player Fouled 25.5% 29.3%
Turnover 22.8% 9.0%
Opponent Steal 12.7% 3.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS VCU
Shot Blocked 12.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 35.2% 29.9%