TN State at W Kentucky: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 14, 2011 8:00 pm - Bowling Green, KY
Odds: Western Kentucky by 3.5, Total Points: 136

More Games From Nov 14, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNST WKU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TNST WKU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 58.0
Field Goal % 42.7% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 32.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 26.9
Free Throw % 76.1% 72.7%
Ball Control TNST WKU
Rebounds 32.3 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.6
Turnovers 14.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.7
Steals 5.9 8.3
Fouls 19.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNST WKU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TNST WKU
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 20.6%
Player Fouled 22.6% 25.1%
Turnover 19.6% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNST WKU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 30.0%