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Richmond at Saint Louis: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 15, 2012 8:00 pm - St. Louis, MO
Odds: Saint Louis by 14.5, Total Points: 128.5

Matchup Menu: RICH @ SLU

More Games From Feb 15, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH SLU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting RICH SLU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 56.5
Field Goal % 49.6% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 35.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 17.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 75.1%
Ball Control RICH SLU
Rebounds 31.6 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.1 8.2
Turnovers 7.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.3
Steals 6.0 4.1
Fouls 13.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH SLU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with RICH SLU
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 28.4%
Player Fouled 21.9% 19.2%
Turnover 10.3% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH SLU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 16.1% 23.6%