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Norfolk St vs. TX Christian: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 20, 2011 6:00 pm - St. Thomas, VIR (Neutral Site)
Odds: Texas Christian by 6.5, Total Points: 138

Matchup Menu: NORF @ TCU

More Games From Nov 20, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF TCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NORF TCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 54.2
Field Goal % 41.9% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 40.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 27.7
Free Throw % 71.8% 72.7%
Ball Control NORF TCU
Rebounds 27.8 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 12.9
Turnovers 13.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.3
Steals 6.8 7.0
Fouls 17.5 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF TCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NORF TCU
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 24.3%
Player Fouled 22.0% 24.5%
Turnover 18.3% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF TCU
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 39.9%