San Jose St at N Mex State
Saturday Feb 25, 2012 -
9:00 pm -
Las Cruces, NM
|
Odds:
New Mexico St. by 16,
Total Points:
147.5
|
Team Pages:
SJST |
NMSU
Box Score Projection
| Shooting |
SJST |
NMSU |
| Field Goals Made |
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| Field Goals Attempted |
59.0 |
53.0 |
| Field Goal % |
31.0% |
48.9% |
| 2 Pointers Made |
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| 2 Pointers Attempted |
43.9 |
41.5 |
| 2 Point Shooting % |
32.0% |
53.6% |
| 3 Pointers Made |
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| 3 Pointers Attempted |
15.1 |
11.6 |
| 3 Point Shooting % |
28.3% |
31.6% |
| Free Throws Made |
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| Free Throws Attempted |
18.6 |
25.1 |
| Free Throw % |
65.7% |
65.6% |
| Ball Control |
SJST |
NMSU |
| Rebounds |
32.4 |
42.9 |
| Rebounds - Defensive |
20.3 |
31.1 |
| Rebounds - Offensive |
12.1 |
11.9 |
| Turnovers |
11.2 |
11.5 |
| Blocked Shots |
2.9 |
7.7 |
| Steals |
4.4 |
4.7 |
| Fouls |
17.8 |
13.3 |
Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
Tempo-Free Projection
| % of Possessions with |
SJST |
NMSU |
| 2 Point Attempt |
52.4% |
50.8% |
| 3 Point Attempt |
18.0% |
14.2% |
| Player Fouled |
19.3% |
26.0% |
| Turnover |
16.3% |
16.8% |
| Opponent Steal |
6.8% |
6.5% |
| Odds Per Shot Taken |
SJST |
NMSU |
| Shot Blocked |
14.7% |
5.1% |
| Offensive Rebound |
28.0% |
36.9% |