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Florida St at Miami (FL)

  Sunday Feb 26, 2012 - 6:00 pm - Coral Gables, FL | Odds: Miami-Florida by 1.5, Total Points: 128 | Team Pages: FSU | MIFL

Box Score Projection

Scoring FSU MIFL
Points 65.0 80.7
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 16.4
Points From 3-Pointers 9.0 51.0
Points From Free Throws 16.6 13.3

Shooting FSU MIFL
Field Goals Made 22.7 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 48.3 57.9
Field Goal % 47.0% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 8.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 28.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 28.7%
3 Pointers Made 3.0 17.0
3 Pointers Attempted 10.8 29.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 57.9%
Free Throws Made 16.6 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 17.0
Free Throw % 61.2% 78.4%

Ball Control FSU MIFL
Rebounds 28.3 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.3 11.3
Turnovers 18.6 19.7
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.4
Steals 8.8 3.9
Fouls 14.5 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (FL)

Expected Effect: +2.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FSU MIFL
Total Possessions 77.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 69.3

% of Possessions with FSU MIFL
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 31.4%
3 Point Attempt 12.7% 32.2%
Player Fouled 23.2% 18.7%
Turnover 24.0% 25.4%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 11.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken FSU MIFL
Shot Blocked 7.8% 11.6%
Offensive Rebound 16.8% 32.9%