NC-Wilmgton at Wm & Mary
Saturday Jan 21, 2012 -
2:00 pm -
Williamsburg, VA
|
Odds:
NC-Wilmington by 2.5,
Total Points:
135.5
|
Team Pages:
UNCW |
WLMY
Box Score Projection
| Shooting |
UNCW |
WLMY |
| Field Goals Made |
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| Field Goals Attempted |
57.4 |
52.3 |
| Field Goal % |
45.3% |
49.2% |
| 2 Pointers Made |
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| 2 Pointers Attempted |
39.3 |
33.3 |
| 2 Point Shooting % |
50.5% |
55.4% |
| 3 Pointers Made |
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| 3 Pointers Attempted |
18.1 |
19.1 |
| 3 Point Shooting % |
34.0% |
38.3% |
| Free Throws Made |
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| Free Throws Attempted |
16.8 |
19.6 |
| Free Throw % |
63.4% |
70.4% |
| Ball Control |
UNCW |
WLMY |
| Rebounds |
33.0 |
31.5 |
| Rebounds - Defensive |
21.9 |
23.8 |
| Rebounds - Offensive |
11.1 |
7.7 |
| Turnovers |
9.4 |
10.4 |
| Blocked Shots |
4.7 |
2.4 |
| Steals |
5.5 |
5.6 |
| Fouls |
15.0 |
12.0 |
Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
Tempo-Free Projection
| % of Possessions with |
UNCW |
WLMY |
| 2 Point Attempt |
50.0% |
43.8% |
| 3 Point Attempt |
23.1% |
25.1% |
| Player Fouled |
18.0% |
22.6% |
| Turnover |
14.1% |
15.7% |
| Opponent Steal |
8.4% |
8.3% |
| Odds Per Shot Taken |
UNCW |
WLMY |
| Shot Blocked |
4.8% |
8.4% |
| Offensive Rebound |
31.8% |
25.9% |
