This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Rutgers at Louisville: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 4, 2012 4:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 11, Total Points: 127

Matchup Menu: RUTG @ LOU

More Games From Feb 4, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RUTG LOU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting RUTG LOU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 53.3
Field Goal % 42.8% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 30.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 22.3
Free Throw % 67.7% 74.2%
Ball Control RUTG LOU
Rebounds 35.4 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.5
Turnovers 10.7 14.6
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.1
Steals 8.4 5.6
Fouls 16.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RUTG LOU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with RUTG LOU
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 20.9%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.3%
Turnover 14.9% 20.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 11.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RUTG LOU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 10.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 27.5%