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Rutgers at Louisville

  Saturday Feb 4, 2012 - 4:00 pm - Louisville, KY | Odds: Louisville by 11, Total Points: 127 | Team Pages: RUTG | LOU

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RUTG LOU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting RUTG LOU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 55.6
Field Goal % 34.0% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 37.5% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 25.6% 30.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 19.4
Free Throw % 64.2% 69.4%

Ball Control RUTG LOU
Rebounds 33.4 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.5
Turnovers 12.5 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.5
Steals 4.5 6.8
Fouls 14.7 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RUTG LOU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with RUTG LOU
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 23.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.2%
Turnover 18.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken RUTG LOU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 33.6%