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S Illinois at W Michigan

  Sunday Dec 11, 2011 - 2:00 pm - Kalamazoo, MI | Odds: Western Michigan by 7.5, Total Points: 131 | Team Pages: SILL | WMCH

Box Score Projection

Scoring SILL WMCH
Points 54.8 69.0
Total Points   123.8
Points From 2-Pointers 22.7 18.3
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 36.4
Points From Free Throws 20.6 14.4

Shooting SILL WMCH
Field Goals Made 15.2 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 49.3 43.7
Field Goal % 30.8% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 11.3 9.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 24.8
2 Point Shooting % 28.5% 36.8%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 9.5 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 40.4% 64.2%
Free Throws Made 20.6 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 30.6 16.3
Free Throw % 67.2% 88.2%

Ball Control SILL WMCH
Rebounds 34.3 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 3.6
Turnovers 13.5 18.2
Blocked Shots -0.2 1.8
Steals 12.4 4.6
Fouls 19.4 22.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: +1.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SILL WMCH
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 54.4

% of Possessions with SILL WMCH
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 34.2%
3 Point Attempt 11.3% 26.0%
Player Fouled 31.9% 28.2%
Turnover 19.5% 26.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 18.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken SILL WMCH
Shot Blocked 4.2% -0.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.2% 15.0%