Siena at U Mass: Box Score Simulation

Friday Dec 9, 2011 7:00 pm - Springfield, MA
Odds: Massachusetts by 13, Total Points: 136.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE MASS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SIE MASS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 60.9
Field Goal % 37.3% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 31.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 22.2
Free Throw % 68.7% 68.2%
Ball Control SIE MASS
Rebounds 34.1 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 13.8
Turnovers 14.4 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 4.3 8.7
Fouls 15.0 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE MASS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SIE MASS
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 24.8%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.8%
Turnover 20.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 12.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE MASS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 38.2%