Arkansas St at Murray St
Saturday Dec 17, 2011 -
8:00 pm -
Murray, KY
|
Odds:
Murray St. by 13,
Total Points:
126.5
|
Team Pages:
ARST |
MUST
Box Score Projection
| Shooting |
ARST |
MUST |
| Field Goals Made |
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| Field Goals Attempted |
56.2 |
52.2 |
| Field Goal % |
37.8% |
42.1% |
| 2 Pointers Made |
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| 2 Pointers Attempted |
36.6 |
31.1 |
| 2 Point Shooting % |
42.7% |
48.2% |
| 3 Pointers Made |
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| 3 Pointers Attempted |
19.7 |
21.2 |
| 3 Point Shooting % |
28.8% |
33.3% |
| Free Throws Made |
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| Free Throws Attempted |
24.8 |
21.0 |
| Free Throw % |
68.7% |
69.6% |
| Ball Control |
ARST |
MUST |
| Rebounds |
37.4 |
35.9 |
| Rebounds - Defensive |
24.7 |
26.8 |
| Rebounds - Offensive |
12.7 |
9.2 |
| Turnovers |
11.3 |
14.2 |
| Blocked Shots |
2.6 |
2.6 |
| Steals |
7.3 |
5.3 |
| Fouls |
17.2 |
17.0 |
Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
Tempo-Free Projection
| % of Possessions with |
ARST |
MUST |
| 2 Point Attempt |
43.3% |
38.3% |
| 3 Point Attempt |
23.3% |
26.2% |
| Player Fouled |
24.1% |
24.3% |
| Turnover |
16.0% |
20.1% |
| Opponent Steal |
7.5% |
10.4% |
| Odds Per Shot Taken |
ARST |
MUST |
| Shot Blocked |
5.0% |
4.6% |
| Offensive Rebound |
32.2% |
27.1% |