St Johns at Duke
Saturday Jan 28, 2012 -
12:00 pm -
Durham, NC
|
Odds:
Duke by 17.5,
Total Points:
147
|
Team Pages:
STJN |
DUKE
Box Score Projection
| Shooting |
STJN |
DUKE |
| Field Goals Made |
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| Field Goals Attempted |
61.6 |
59.0 |
| Field Goal % |
39.3% |
43.0% |
| 2 Pointers Made |
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| 2 Pointers Attempted |
50.6 |
38.9 |
| 2 Point Shooting % |
43.4% |
44.7% |
| 3 Pointers Made |
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| 3 Pointers Attempted |
11.0 |
20.1 |
| 3 Point Shooting % |
20.6% |
39.6% |
| Free Throws Made |
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| Free Throws Attempted |
16.7 |
20.9 |
| Free Throw % |
64.2% |
74.3% |
| Ball Control |
STJN |
DUKE |
| Rebounds |
37.4 |
39.3 |
| Rebounds - Defensive |
25.3 |
28.5 |
| Rebounds - Offensive |
12.1 |
10.8 |
| Turnovers |
10.2 |
10.0 |
| Blocked Shots |
5.6 |
3.1 |
| Steals |
4.5 |
5.0 |
| Fouls |
16.5 |
14.6 |
Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
Tempo-Free Projection
| % of Possessions with |
STJN |
DUKE |
| 2 Point Attempt |
60.5% |
46.8% |
| 3 Point Attempt |
13.2% |
24.1% |
| Player Fouled |
20.7% |
23.5% |
| Turnover |
14.4% |
14.3% |
| Opponent Steal |
7.2% |
6.3% |
| Odds Per Shot Taken |
STJN |
DUKE |
| Shot Blocked |
5.5% |
9.2% |
| Offensive Rebound |
29.7% |
29.9% |