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Texas Tech at Oral Roberts

  Thursday Dec 22, 2011 - 8:05 pm - Tulsa, OK | Odds: Oral Roberts by 14, Total Points: 135.5 | Team Pages: TTU | ORU

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU ORU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting TTU ORU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.6 50.7
Field Goal % 45.0% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 35.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 22.3
Free Throw % 62.3% 72.9%

Ball Control TTU ORU
Rebounds 36.1 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 9.2
Turnovers 11.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.3
Steals 5.2 4.6
Fouls 17.2 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU ORU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with TTU ORU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 18.0% 24.3%
Player Fouled 28.2% 26.2%
Turnover 17.1% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken TTU ORU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 36.4% 27.6%