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Marist at S Florida

  Monday Nov 14, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Tampa, FL | Odds: South Florida by 19.5, Total Points: 126 | Team Pages: MRST | USF

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRST USF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting MRST USF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.2 52.9
Field Goal % 39.5% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.9 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.3% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 13.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 32.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 18.8
Free Throw % 69.0% 61.9%

Ball Control MRST USF
Rebounds 27.4 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 11.3
Turnovers 11.8 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.3
Steals 6.4 6.0
Fouls 14.8 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRST USF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with MRST USF
2 Point Attempt 35.8% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 16.4%
Player Fouled 25.8% 22.2%
Turnover 17.7% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken MRST USF
Shot Blocked 8.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 35.1%