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Evansville at Miami (OH)

  Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Miami, OH | Odds: Miami (OH) by 6, Total Points: 127 | Team Pages: EVAN | MIOH

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting EVAN MIOH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 45.6 51.7
Field Goal % 53.1% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 60.0% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.0 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 35.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 18.5
Free Throw % 74.5% 70.6%

Ball Control EVAN MIOH
Rebounds 31.1 25.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 19.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 6.4
Turnovers 13.2 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.5
Steals 5.1 7.3
Fouls 16.1 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN MIOH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with EVAN MIOH
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 15.8% 21.6%
Player Fouled 27.8% 23.4%
Turnover 19.2% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 7.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN MIOH
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 20.4%