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WI-Grn Bay at Virginia: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 25, 2011 7:00 pm - Charlottesville, VA
Odds: Virginia by 13, Total Points: 115.5

Matchup Menu: WIGB @ UVA

More Games From Nov 25, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB UVA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WIGB UVA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 55.8
Field Goal % 34.8% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 25.5 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.1 16.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 62.1%
Ball Control WIGB UVA
Rebounds 32.9 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.5
Turnovers 11.6 5.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 7.5
Steals 3.0 6.4
Fouls 13.2 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB UVA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WIGB UVA
2 Point Attempt 34.6% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 37.2% 23.7%
Player Fouled 18.3% 21.0%
Turnover 18.5% 8.8%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB UVA
Shot Blocked 13.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 25.3%