Geo Mason at Fla Atlantic

  Saturday Nov 19, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Boca Raton, FL | Odds: Florida Atlantic by 2.5, Total Points: 137.5 | Team Pages: GMAS | FAU

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GMAS FAU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting GMAS FAU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 51.5
Field Goal % 45.7% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 47.9 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 7.9 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 37.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 18.1
Free Throw % 65.9% 67.6%

Ball Control GMAS FAU
Rebounds 40.3 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 7.2
Turnovers 9.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.1
Steals 5.7 3.3
Fouls 16.0 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GMAS FAU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with GMAS FAU
2 Point Attempt 58.6% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 9.7% 26.0%
Player Fouled 25.2% 24.1%
Turnover 14.2% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 8.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken GMAS FAU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 40.3% 21.5%