coin-dollar notification2 facebook2 twitter2

Rice at Texas

  Saturday Dec 31, 2011 - 2:00 pm - Austin, TX | Odds: Texas by 13, Total Points: 144 | Team Pages: RICE | TEX

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE TEX
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting RICE TEX
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 52.5
Field Goal % 33.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 30.0% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 22.9
Free Throw % 74.5% 72.3%

Ball Control RICE TEX
Rebounds 24.9 43.1
Rebounds - Defensive 19.0 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 12.6
Turnovers 9.8 10.5
Blocked Shots 1.6 8.0
Steals 4.8 4.3
Fouls 16.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE TEX
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with RICE TEX
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 21.2%
Player Fouled 21.4% 25.3%
Turnover 15.1% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken RICE TEX
Shot Blocked 15.3% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 16.4% 40.0%