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Fla Atlantic at S Florida: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 26, 2011 7:00 pm - Tampa, FL
Odds: South Florida by 3.5, Total Points: 124

Matchup Menu: FAU @ USF

More Games From Nov 26, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU USF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FAU USF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 60.4
Field Goal % 45.3% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 36.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 18.6
Free Throw % 72.6% 72.6%
Ball Control FAU USF
Rebounds 39.4 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.5
Turnovers 10.6 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.3
Steals 5.8 5.5
Fouls 15.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU USF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FAU USF
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 29.7%
Player Fouled 22.6% 21.3%
Turnover 14.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU USF
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 25.4%