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Chattanooga at W Carolina

  Thursday Feb 2, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Cullowhee, NC | Odds: Western Carolina by 4.5, Total Points: 141.5 | Team Pages: CHAT | WCAR

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting CHAT WCAR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.0 58.1
Field Goal % 42.5% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 44.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 40.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 13.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 34.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 32.7 23.9
Free Throw % 67.8% 69.9%

Ball Control CHAT WCAR
Rebounds 38.8 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 12.8
Turnovers 12.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 6.6 5.9
Steals 5.9 6.4
Fouls 17.8 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAT WCAR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with CHAT WCAR
2 Point Attempt 36.0% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 15.5%
Player Fouled 27.8% 25.1%
Turnover 18.2% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken CHAT WCAR
Shot Blocked 10.5% 13.2%
Offensive Rebound 37.1% 33.1%