Cal St Nrdge at Washington

  Thursday Dec 22, 2011 - 10:00 pm - Seattle, WA | Odds: Washington by 20, Total Points: 157 | Team Pages: CSNR | WASH

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSNR WASH
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting CSNR WASH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 55.1
Field Goal % 38.7% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 39.7% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 8.7 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 23.3
Free Throw % 76.5% 70.7%

Ball Control CSNR WASH
Rebounds 33.6 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.9
Turnovers 10.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.3
Steals 5.1 5.0
Fouls 17.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSNR WASH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with CSNR WASH
2 Point Attempt 59.6% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 10.9% 26.2%
Player Fouled 21.4% 25.1%
Turnover 14.9% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken CSNR WASH
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 29.3%