VA Military at Old Dominion

  Thursday Dec 22, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Norfolk, VA | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: VMI | ODU

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI ODU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting VMI ODU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 60.3
Field Goal % 33.0% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 24.3 46.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.9% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 32.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 24.3
Free Throw % 69.9% 66.9%

Ball Control VMI ODU
Rebounds 32.2 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 32.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 13.5
Turnovers 12.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.2
Steals 4.6 6.4
Fouls 17.0 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI ODU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with VMI ODU
2 Point Attempt 28.6% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 41.6% 15.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.2%
Turnover 17.4% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken VMI ODU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 38.2%