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Kansas vs. N Carolina

  Sunday Mar 25, 2012 - 5:05 pm - St. Louis, MO (Neutral Site) | Odds: Kansas by 2, Total Points: 141.5 | Team Pages: KANS | UNC

Box Score Projection

Scoring KANS UNC
Points 55.9 95.7
Total Points   151.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 65.1
Points From 3-Pointers 9.9 7.7
Points From Free Throws 13.1 22.9

Shooting KANS UNC
Field Goals Made 19.8 35.1
Field Goals Attempted 72.2 65.3
Field Goal % 27.3% 53.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 32.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.3 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 28.7% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made 3.3 2.6
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 13.0
3 Point Shooting % 22.0% 19.8%
Free Throws Made 13.1 22.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 32.3
Free Throw % 64.8% 70.9%

Ball Control KANS UNC
Rebounds 44.3 45.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 18.5 9.4
Turnovers 9.7 0.8
Blocked Shots 6.5 12.5
Steals 2.0 8.7
Fouls 17.2 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: N Carolina

Expected Effect: +2.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KANS UNC
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 82.3 82.1

% of Possessions with KANS UNC
2 Point Attempt 59.0% 61.3%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 15.2%
Player Fouled 23.8% 23.4%
Turnover 13.2% 1.1%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 2.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken KANS UNC
Shot Blocked 19.7% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 26.7%