S Dakota St at IPFW: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 28, 2012 7:00 pm - Fort Wayne, IN
Odds: South Dakota State by 5.5, Total Points: 153

More Games From Jan 28, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST PFW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDST PFW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 61.1
Field Goal % 49.1% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 14.6
Free Throw % 73.5% 70.7%
Ball Control SDST PFW
Rebounds 37.1 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.6 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 6.7
Turnovers 14.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.3
Steals 4.7 8.9
Fouls 12.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST PFW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDST PFW
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 39.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 17.5%
Turnover 19.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST PFW
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 17.8%