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S Dakota St vs. Sam Hous St

  Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 - 4:30 pm - Bowling Green, OH (Neutral Site) | Odds: South Dakota State by 11, Total Points: 134.5 | Team Pages: SODA | SAMH

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting SODA SAMH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 53.3
Field Goal % 40.7% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 29.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 27.7
Free Throw % 71.4% 70.1%

Ball Control SODA SAMH
Rebounds 33.6 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 12.0
Turnovers 11.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.1
Steals 4.4 5.8
Fouls 18.3 21.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SODA SAMH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with SODA SAMH
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 26.1%
Player Fouled 30.9% 26.3%
Turnover 16.1% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken SODA SAMH
Shot Blocked 7.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 32.1%