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Houston Bap vs. NJIT

  Thursday Mar 8, 2012 - 3:30 pm - Chicago, IL (Neutral Site) | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: HOUBA | NJIT

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 52.6
Field Goal % 38.3% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 43.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 26.2
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.0%

Ball Control HOUBA NJIT
Rebounds 35.9 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 8.8
Turnovers 12.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.8
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 19.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOUBA NJIT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with HOUBA NJIT
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.3% 22.8%
Player Fouled 23.8% 27.6%
Turnover 17.2% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken HOUBA NJIT
Shot Blocked 11.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 37.9% 29.4%