N Illinois vs. W Michigan
The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2006-2007 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1679 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Michigan won the game 1430 times (85.2%)
- The team like Northern Illinois won the game 249 times (14.8%)
- The team like Northern Illinois did better against the spread, going 843-810-26 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2008-2009 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2782 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 1356-1352-74 (50.1% ATS).