N Illinois at Boise State

  Saturday Nov 26, 2011 - 9:00 pm - Boise, ID | Odds: Boise St. by 22, Total Points: 135.5 | Team Pages: NILL | BSU

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NILL BSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting NILL BSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.2 48.4
Field Goal % 41.5% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 25.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 38.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 20.3
Free Throw % 69.7% 73.0%

Ball Control NILL BSU
Rebounds 29.9 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.2
Turnovers 11.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.9
Steals 5.4 5.9
Fouls 16.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NILL BSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with NILL BSU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 32.0%
Player Fouled 24.9% 26.2%
Turnover 18.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken NILL BSU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 26.0%