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Miami (FL) at Mississippi

  Friday Nov 25, 2011 - 4:00 pm - Oxford, MS | Odds: Mississippi by 2.5, Total Points: 135 | Team Pages: MIFL | MISS

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIFL MISS
Points 67.2 51.8
Total Points   119.0
Points From 2-Pointers 7.4 21.3
Points From 3-Pointers 44.4 18.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 12.3

Shooting MIFL MISS
Field Goals Made 18.5 16.7
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 67.2
Field Goal % 28.2% 24.9%
2 Pointers Made 3.7 10.7
2 Pointers Attempted 24.6 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 15.1% 27.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 41.1 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 21.4%
Free Throws Made 15.4 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 16.8
Free Throw % 78.4% 73.0%

Ball Control MIFL MISS
Rebounds 47.4 54.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 17.9 23.3
Turnovers 11.0 13.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 6.3
Steals 7.6 7.4
Fouls 11.2 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (FL)

Expected Effect: +2.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIFL MISS
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 78.0 80.8

% of Possessions with MIFL MISS
2 Point Attempt 26.9% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 44.9% 29.7%
Player Fouled 20.7% 15.7%
Turnover 15.4% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 10.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken MIFL MISS
Shot Blocked 9.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 36.9% 44.2%