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Georgetown vs. Kansas: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 21, 2011 11:50 pm - Lahaina, HI (Neutral Site)
Odds: Kansas by 5.5, Total Points: 139

Matchup Menu: GTWN @ KU

More Games From Nov 21, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN KU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GTWN KU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 56.4
Field Goal % 38.4% 58.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 40.1% 67.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 20.7
Free Throw % 72.0% 71.4%
Ball Control GTWN KU
Rebounds 29.4 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 19.2 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.7
Turnovers 10.6 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.0
Steals 4.8 7.3
Fouls 14.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN KU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GTWN KU
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 20.7%
Player Fouled 19.3% 21.1%
Turnover 15.0% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN KU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 28.6%