Sac State at Montana

  Saturday Jan 21, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Missoula, MT | Odds: Montana by 15, Total Points: 128 | Team Pages: SAST | MONT

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAST MONT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting SAST MONT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.1 50.6
Field Goal % 47.8% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 42.4% 35.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 16.1
Free Throw % 73.1% 71.5%

Ball Control SAST MONT
Rebounds 28.2 28.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.8
Turnovers 12.2 12.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.4
Steals 7.1 6.4
Fouls 15.2 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAST MONT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with SAST MONT
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 29.7%
Player Fouled 25.6% 23.1%
Turnover 18.6% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 10.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken SAST MONT
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 27.5%