Sac State at Montana St

  Thursday Jan 19, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Bozeman, MT | Odds: Montana St. by 6, Total Points: 134 | Team Pages: SAST | MTST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAST MTST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting SAST MTST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.0 53.0
Field Goal % 50.5% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.2 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 47.3% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 14.0
Free Throw % 74.0% 68.7%

Ball Control SAST MTST
Rebounds 29.8 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.8
Turnovers 10.0 13.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.3
Steals 7.4 4.0
Fouls 14.8 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAST MTST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with SAST MTST
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 16.4% 29.7%
Player Fouled 26.9% 22.4%
Turnover 15.2% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 11.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken SAST MTST
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 30.2%