Indiana vs. Wisconsin

  Friday Mar 9, 2012 - 2:25 pm - Indianapolis, IN (Neutral Site) | Odds: Indiana by 1, Total Points: 122.5 | Team Pages: IND | WISC

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND WISC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting IND WISC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 53.7
Field Goal % 44.6% 54.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 64.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 44.3% 34.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 11.1 18.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 75.5%

Ball Control IND WISC
Rebounds 26.9 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.1 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.2
Turnovers 7.8 5.8
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.1
Steals 2.8 3.8
Fouls 15.5 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND WISC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with IND WISC
2 Point Attempt 55.4% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 26.1%
Player Fouled 17.7% 24.7%
Turnover 12.4% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 4.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken IND WISC
Shot Blocked 7.7% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 30.1%