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W Kentucky vs. Kentucky: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Mar 15, 2012 6:50 pm - Louisville, KY (Neutral Site)
Odds: Kentucky by 26.5, Total Points: 136.5

Matchup Menu: WKU @ UK

More Games From Mar 15, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU UK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WKU UK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 67.1 64.6
Field Goal % 38.9% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.3 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 41.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 21.9
Free Throw % 72.7% 78.2%
Ball Control WKU UK
Rebounds 35.5 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.2
Turnovers 12.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 8.6
Steals 6.5 7.3
Fouls 16.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU UK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WKU UK
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 29.6%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.0%
Turnover 15.4% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU UK
Shot Blocked 13.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 24.4%