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W Kentucky vs. LSU

  Friday Nov 18, 2011 - 1:00 pm - Charleston, SC (Neutral Site) | Odds: Louisiana State by 8, Total Points: 135.5 | Team Pages: WKEN | LSU

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKEN LSU
Points 56.8 100.3
Total Points   157.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 69.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 16.7
Points From Free Throws 9.9 14.0

Shooting WKEN LSU
Field Goals Made 21.0 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 67.2 67.6
Field Goal % 31.3% 59.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 34.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 50.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 68.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.0 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 16.0% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 9.9 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 17.9
Free Throw % 72.4% 78.2%

Ball Control WKEN LSU
Rebounds 30.9 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.2
Turnovers 17.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 1.3 7.7
Steals 4.4 8.0
Fouls 14.4 10.9

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: +1.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKEN LSU
Total Possessions 82.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.0 79.0

% of Possessions with WKEN LSU
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 55.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 18.6%
Player Fouled 13.1% 17.4%
Turnover 21.0% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken WKEN LSU
Shot Blocked 11.4% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 27.8%