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Loyola-MD at Kentucky

  Thursday Dec 22, 2011 - 1:00 pm - Lexington, KY | Odds: Kentucky by 24, Total Points: 140 | Team Pages: LMAR | KENT

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMAR KENT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting LMAR KENT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 49.0
Field Goal % 25.3% 54.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 25.8% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 11.1
3 Point Shooting % 23.9% 35.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 31.4
Free Throw % 67.4% 73.8%

Ball Control LMAR KENT
Rebounds 27.7 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 16.6 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.7
Turnovers 12.7 7.6
Blocked Shots 1.6 10.1
Steals 3.1 5.9
Fouls 19.8 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMAR KENT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with LMAR KENT
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 14.5%
Player Fouled 21.5% 30.4%
Turnover 19.4% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 4.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken LMAR KENT
Shot Blocked 20.8% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 39.1%