coin-dollar notification2 facebook2 twitter2

Ark Pine Bl at Air Force

  Saturday Dec 10, 2011 - 9:00 pm - Colorado Springs, CO | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: APB | AFA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring APB AFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting APB AFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.2 45.0
Field Goal % 41.0% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 25.7 26.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 39.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 22.9
Free Throw % 66.4% 64.6%

Ball Control APB AFA
Rebounds 25.9 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 17.0 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.6
Turnovers 13.6 13.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.9
Steals 7.4 6.9
Fouls 17.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APB AFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with APB AFA
2 Point Attempt 35.0% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.9% 27.4%
Turnover 21.3% 21.7%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 11.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken APB AFA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 36.0%